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Explained probabilities, alerts for your teams and the audited accuracy of every forecast.

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Serie A (Brasil): probabilidades de cada partido · Talking Tipster

Serie A Brasil

Probabilities for every match of the 2020/26 season, recorded before kickoff. When the match ends they are compared with the result: hits and misses are there for everyone to see.

Accuracy in this league

55%favorite's live hit rate (20 matches audited)

0.507Live Brier (lower is better)

52%hit rate in the backtest of 1,197 matches

0.595Backtest Brier (market: 0.596)

20 matches audited live so far: still a small sample and the percentage can move a lot. The backtest, with thousands of matches, is the more stable reference.

Upcoming matches

No matches published yet. Every morning Talking Tipster records the day's fixtures.

Already played: prediction versus result

Sat, Oct 31 · 19:00Correct

Coritiba2 – 0Vitoria

1 41% · X 28% · 2 31%

Fri, Oct 30 · 23:00Correct

Corinthians2 – 0Mirassol

1 52% · X 25% · 2 23%

Fri, Oct 30 · 00:30Missed

Gremio2 – 0Athletico-PR

1 36% · X 27% · 2 37%

Thu, Oct 29 · 23:00Correct

Vasco1 – 4Flamengo RJ

1 22% · X 25% · 2 53%

Thu, Oct 29 · 22:30Missed

Atletico-MG0 – 1Cruzeiro

1 39% · X 26% · 2 35%

Thu, Oct 29 · 00:30Correct

Bahia3 – 2Sao Paulo

1 48% · X 27% · 2 26%

Thu, Oct 29 · 00:30Missed

Remo2 – 1Botafogo RJ

1 34% · X 27% · 2 39%

Wed, Oct 28 · 22:30Correct

Bragantino3 – 0Chapecoense-SC

1 75% · X 16% · 2 9%

Wed, Oct 28 · 22:30Correct

Fluminense2 – 1Internacional

1 55% · X 25% · 2 20%

Wed, Oct 28 · 22:30Missed

Santos0 – 0Palmeiras

1 26% · X 28% · 2 46%

Tue, Oct 27 · 00:00Correct

Flamengo RJ3 – 2Atletico-MG

1 72% · X 18% · 2 9%

Mon, Oct 26 · 23:30Missed

Coritiba0 – 1Gremio

1 44% · X 28% · 2 29%

Sun, Oct 25 · 01:00Missed

Santos1 – 1Bahia

1 53% · X 25% · 2 23%

Sat, Oct 24 · 23:30Missed

Chapecoense-SC2 – 1Fluminense

1 19% · X 24% · 2 57%

Sat, Oct 24 · 22:30Correct

Vasco3 – 2Corinthians

1 58% · X 24% · 2 18%

Sat, Oct 24 · 22:30Correct

Palmeiras2 – 0Bragantino

1 67% · X 20% · 2 12%

Sat, Oct 24 · 20:30Missed

Mirassol1 – 1Sao Paulo

1 42% · X 29% · 2 29%

Sat, Oct 24 · 20:30Missed

Vitoria1 – 1Athletico-PR

1 36% · X 27% · 2 36%

Sat, Oct 24 · 20:30Correct

Internacional3 – 0Botafogo RJ

1 47% · X 27% · 2 26%

Sat, Oct 24 · 00:00Correct

Cruzeiro1 – 0Remo

1 74% · X 17% · 2 9%

ELO ranking

Each team's strength based on its results; it is the basis of the model.

#	Team	ELO
1	Flamengo RJ	1689
2	Palmeiras	1672
3	Cruzeiro	1568
4	Fluminense	1539
5	Bahia	1507
6	Botafogo RJ	1497
7	Atletico-MG	1495
8	Santos	1486
9	Athletico-PR	1483
10	Bragantino	1471
11	Sao Paulo	1466
12	Mirassol	1465
13	Internacional	1453
14	Vasco	1446
15	Corinthians	1445
16	Gremio	1438
17	Vitoria	1414
18	Coritiba	1393
19	Remo	1337
20	Chapecoense-SC	1273