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Explained probabilities, alerts for your teams and the audited accuracy of every forecast.

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MLS (Estados Unidos): probabilidades de cada partido · Talking Tipster

MLS Estados Unidos

Probabilities for every match of the 2020/26 season, recorded before kickoff. When the match ends they are compared with the result: hits and misses are there for everyone to see.

Accuracy in this league

45%favorite's live hit rate (29 matches audited)

0.650Live Brier (lower is better)

48%hit rate in the backtest of 1,522 matches

0.613Backtest Brier (market: 0.612)

29 matches audited live so far: still a small sample and the percentage can move a lot. The backtest, with thousands of matches, is the more stable reference.

Upcoming matches

No matches published yet. Every morning Talking Tipster records the day's fixtures.

Already played: prediction versus result

Sun, Nov 8 · 00:00Awaiting result

San Diego FCvsSporting Kansas City

1 68% · X 18% · 2 14%

Sun, Nov 8 · 00:00Awaiting result

FC DallasvsColorado Rapids

1 49% · X 25% · 2 26%

Sun, Nov 8 · 00:00Awaiting result

Real Salt LakevsLos Angeles Galaxy

1 54% · X 22% · 2 23%

Sun, Nov 8 · 00:00Awaiting result

Minnesota UnitedvsSan Jose Earthquakes

1 58% · X 21% · 2 21%

Sun, Nov 8 · 00:00Awaiting result

Austin FCvsPortland Timbers

1 23% · X 22% · 2 55%

Sun, Nov 8 · 00:00Awaiting result

Seattle SoundersvsLos Angeles FC

1 49% · X 25% · 2 26%

Sun, Nov 8 · 00:00Awaiting result

Houston DynamovsSt. Louis City

1 39% · X 27% · 2 34%

Thu, Oct 29 · 02:30Missed

San Jose Earthquakes2 – 2Colorado Rapids

1 45% · X 25% · 2 30%

Thu, Oct 29 · 02:30Correct

Vancouver Whitecaps4 – 1San Diego FC

1 68% · X 17% · 2 16%

Thu, Oct 29 · 02:30Missed

Seattle Sounders0 – 1Houston Dynamo

1 53% · X 23% · 2 24%

Thu, Oct 29 · 00:30Correct

Austin FC1 – 2Real Salt Lake

1 35% · X 26% · 2 39%

Thu, Oct 29 · 00:30Missed

Nashville SC0 – 0Philadelphia Union

1 56% · X 22% · 2 22%

Thu, Oct 29 · 00:30Missed

FC Dallas0 – 2Columbus Crew

1 49% · X 23% · 2 28%

Thu, Oct 29 · 00:30Correct

Minnesota United3 – 1Sporting Kansas City

1 69% · X 17% · 2 13%

Thu, Oct 29 · 00:30Missed

Chicago Fire2 – 2Orlando City

1 58% · X 20% · 2 22%

Thu, Oct 29 · 00:30Missed

St. Louis City2 – 3Portland Timbers

1 59% · X 20% · 2 21%

Wed, Oct 28 · 23:30Correct

New York City2 – 1Atlanta Utd

1 56% · X 23% · 2 22%

Wed, Oct 28 · 23:30Correct

Charlotte4 – 0CF Montreal

1 69% · X 18% · 2 13%

Wed, Oct 28 · 23:30Missed

Inter Miami2 – 2FC Cincinnati

1 69% · X 16% · 2 15%

Wed, Oct 28 · 23:30Correct

New England Revolution3 – 2New York Red Bulls

1 51% · X 23% · 2 26%

ELO ranking

Each team's strength based on its results; it is the basis of the model.

#	Team	ELO
1	Nashville SC	1602
2	Inter Miami	1602
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	1572
4	Philadelphia Union	1547
5	Los Angeles FC	1525
6	Columbus Crew	1518
7	Charlotte	1517
8	FC Cincinnati	1516
9	Chicago Fire	1513
10	FC Dallas	1507
11	Orlando City	1493
12	Seattle Sounders	1487
13	New York City	1487
14	Minnesota United	1477
15	New England Revolution	1475
16	Houston Dynamo	1474
17	St. Louis City	1464
18	Los Angeles Galaxy	1460
19	San Diego FC	1457
20	San Jose Earthquakes	1452
21	Portland Timbers	1450
22	Real Salt Lake	1445
23	New York Red Bulls	1426
24	Colorado Rapids	1424
25	Toronto FC	1405
26	Austin FC	1395
27	Atlanta Utd	1385
28	DC United	1351
29	CF Montreal	1348